Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1.358572e-03 0.001519 0.001679 0.001850 0.002028 0.002207 0.002401
2025-10-12 1.117929e-03 0.001351 0.001591 0.001853 0.002132 0.002417 0.002729
2025-10-19 9.076307e-04 0.001192 0.001494 0.001831 0.002196 0.002574 0.002995
2025-10-26 7.341835e-04 0.001057 0.001408 0.001811 0.002253 0.002718 0.003239
2025-11-02 5.894092e-04 0.000939 0.001332 0.001791 0.002304 0.002849 0.003466
2025-11-09 4.731049e-04 0.000842 0.001271 0.001782 0.002360 0.002982 0.003690
2025-11-16 3.795771e-04 0.000763 0.001222 0.001782 0.002422 0.003117 0.003914
2025-11-23 3.010801e-04 0.000693 0.001180 0.001784 0.002483 0.003247 0.004129
2025-11-30 2.622611e-04 0.000671 0.001192 0.001847 0.002611 0.003450 0.004422
2025-12-07 1.998302e-04 0.000608 0.001149 0.001842 0.002657 0.003560 0.004610
2025-12-14 1.355206e-04 0.000530 0.001083 0.001804 0.002664 0.003622 0.004743
2025-12-21 1.038441e-04 0.000499 0.001073 0.001833 0.002747 0.003769 0.004968
2025-12-28 5.435458e-05 0.000432 0.001027 0.001835 0.002818 0.003927 0.005235
2026-01-04 2.020054e-05 0.000375 0.000990 0.001847 0.002903 0.004102 0.005524
2026-01-11 2.055532e-07 0.000309 0.000933 0.001831 0.002954 0.004239 0.005770
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000248 0.000877 0.001814 0.003001 0.004371 0.006010
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000195 0.000825 0.001797 0.003047 0.004498 0.006244
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000151 0.000781 0.001789 0.003101 0.004635 0.006488
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000117 0.000746 0.001790 0.003165 0.004781 0.006740
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000087 0.000714 0.001792 0.003228 0.004926 0.006990
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000079 0.000726 0.001856 0.003369 0.005160 0.007341
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000054 0.000691 0.001851 0.003420 0.005288 0.007568
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000027 0.000637 0.001813 0.003428 0.005364 0.007734